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Some of the brightest minds in crypto have shared their thoughts on "the future of money" because we don't have a crystal ball. This is a no-brainer. As a result, they could interpret the question however they saw fit... These findings are astounding.
Contradictions are everywhere. Cryptocurrency has its fans and its detractors. Some think the future is bright; others see it as a threat. Some are bullish on it; others are pessimistic.
Here's a glimmer of what's to come: One of the goals of DeFi, according to Balaji Srinivasan, is to serve as “a check on the currency power of central banks.”
This article is part of Future of Money Week, a week-long series that examines how value will change in the future and what that means for the world as a whole.
Others envision a world in which "every company in the world will have a token in its capital structure," as Arca's Jeff Dorman predicts. Erik Voorhees, a Bitcoin maximalist, believes that fiat currencies will "self-immolate" in the near future. Marcelo Prates, a central banker, envisions a currency "issued by a group of six big tech firms known as the'six sisters,' and this currency goesbbles up the world."
All 20 predictions are tied together by one common thread: the future of money will be anything but dull.
1.As an alternative to 'dollarization,' stablecoins
Historically, countries experiencing currency crises would dollarize, importing US dollar bills and using them as a form of payment. That will be a relic in ten years. Central banks around the world will eventually worry about crypto-dollarization as a way to control inflation, and countries will dollarize using permissionless stablecoins.
-Haseeb Qureshi
2.Cryptocurrency and fiat will coexist
The major fiat currencies and cryptocurrency are still coexisting. Smaller national currencies may be consolidated as people find it easier to get their hands on the US dollar via public blockchains.
A research collaborator - Hasu
3.Anyone can be a programmer.
Programming literacy is like reading literacy, and digital objects are becoming as commonplace as emails. Every year, I expect to see hundreds of tokens being created, each with a price discovery and the ability to be traded on the open market.
It will also become increasingly important for people to be able to write, read, and interact with smart contracts in order to participate in the economy. As a result, money will no longer be an abstract concept, but will instead be directly linked to our digital labor and self-expression.
-Lex Sokolin, Consensys' chief economist and co-head of DeFi/fintech
4.People all over the world are using the "DeFi matrix."
The DeFi matrix could become the social graph of the 2020s, like Facebook was in 2010. With a digital wallet, you can store all of your assets – from bitcoins and ethereum to CBDCs (Central bank digital currencies), stock and loan portfolios, and bonds – so they can be traded instantly around the world.
The DeFi matrix is a table of pairwise trades. BTC/USD, for example, has a lot of order book liquidity, making it a good candidate for inclusion in the DeFi matrix. A recent NFT (Non-fungible token) and a new token, for example, may only have the what that an AMM [Automated Market Maker] can provide. It's possible to break down the DeFi matrix into smaller submatrices, but this isn't necessary. CBDCs will face off against crypto equities in the traditional stock market. CBDCs vs. CBDCs will be the forex market. There will also be fiat/crypto markets such as Bitcoin (BTC) and the US dollar (USDC).
-Investor Balaji Srinivasan, former Coinbase CTO and general partner at a16z
This leads to our next prediction, which is based on Srinivasan's explanation of the significance of the DeFi matrix:
5.For central banks, the DeFi matrix encourages competition and provides a check on their authority
As a counterweight to the power of central bank digital currencies, the DeFi matrix will be implemented. Every national digital currency will compete against every other national digital currency and every other asset, public and private, when digital wallets are introduced.
Only within their own borders will nations be able to enforce adoption, and even then, people may only be allowed to keep a bare minimum of a surveillance currency. Their digital wallets will help them pick programmable, private, and potentially profitable investments over those whose value is locked down and whose monetary policy is unpredictable. As a result, we are now living in a time of intense monetary competition across the globe.
-Balaji Srinivasan
6.Fiat is in tatters.
Within 10 years fiat currencies will be in severe decline due to their own self-immolation and the emergence of sound, market-based alternatives."
-Erik Voorhees, the founder of ShapeShift
7.Cash continuity
Predicting the demise of cash is fashionable among futurists but digital infrastructures are insecure in a world where extreme weather events are on the rise. "Cash doesn't crash," which means it will be around for a long time because it is more resilient than digital money. Digitization is greatly exaggerated.
-Brett Scott
Scott also throws in the following two ideas for good measure...
8. The monetary system is not challenged by crypto.
Because they are priced by the monetary system, cryptocurrencies like bitcoin do not pose a fundamental threat to it, but their price does allow them to be exchanged for other cryptocurrencies (the process of swapping one thing for another via their monetary price). Countertrade is entering a new era, but crypto enthusiasts continue to confuse it with a new era of money.
-Brendan Scott
9."New-wave IOUs" begin to circulate
There is a rise in new-generation IOUs and rippling credit systems. Cryptocurrency has been perpetuating some pretty outdated ideas about money for the last 10 years by focusing on the commodity paradigm, but the most interesting new experiments in money involve creating horizontal networks of promissory IOUs between people..
-Brendan Scott
10.'Bitcoin is the future of money'
-Alex Gladstein, Human Rights Foundation's chief strategy officer.
11.As a result, everything is tokenized.
There is an explosion of digital micro-economies due to the "tokenization" of everything, which is altering our perceptions of money and wealth. The first killer app is NFTs. My bet is on Web 3.0 innovations to create opportunities for many, not just a few, in the fight for the future of money.
-Sandra Ro, CEO, Global Blockchain Business Council
12.The use of programmable money maximizes the efficiency of global resources.
Money is merely a symbol for the world's most valuable resources: human creativity and innovation. This planet's vast resources will be put to good use if the future of money is taken into consideration. In order for us to put our money to work, we must put it on the blockchain, make it programmable, and allow it to interact with other services and assets.
It doesn't matter if you're investing in solar farms or paying for education; there are still many great projects that aren't being completed because of a lack of funding. With programmable blockchain-based money, we can put our own assets to work for the good of all.
-The global blockchain leader at Ernst and Young, Paul Brody
13.The use of tokens by businesses is on the rise.
In the next five to ten years, I believe that every company on the planet will have a token in its capital structure. As a hybrid security (part loyalty/member rewards program and part quasi-equity), these tokens will have utility within a company's ecosystem (rewards) as well as financial value as the revenue of the company expands (pass-through dividends).
Whether you're a Starbucks, Delta Airlines, Netflix, or Disney customer, you'll reap the benefits of interacting with your customers via a token.
-Chief investment officer at arca -Jeff Dorman
14.Big Tech rules the roost
More than six billion people in 2031 will be utilizing BTAs, a digital currency issued by a group of six large technology firms known as the "six sisters," in their daily transactions.
On a network created in 2024 by the three most powerful central banks, BTAs are unbacked and circulate freely around the globe. Only 21 of the nearly 200 sovereign currencies that existed a decade earlier were still in existence after the widespread adoption of BTAs. Even if these few national currencies were to be phased out, it would not be because they were too large to be replaced.
-The central bank lawyer and CoinDesk columnist Marcelo Prates
15.More bartering with tokens is possible.
First, new economies will spring up all over the world, each with its own unique form of barter (for example, tokens as a medium of exchange such as in-game tokens like SLP, ETH). As a means of payment, they will be accepted right away.
Trade and custody of tokenized forms of money will be made easier by blockchain-enabled applications.
At that point, the USD will be replaced by a basket of other currencies, such as Ethereum (ETH), Bitcoin (BTC), US dollars (USD), euro (EUR), and so on.
-Beryl Li, Yield Guild Games co-founder.
16.Programmable fiat results in confiscations
Arbitrary seizure and irrevocable confiscation will be made possible by CBDC and programmable fiat monetary policy.
-Primitive Crypto's Dovey Wan, founder
This is what she sees coming up next:
17. Crypto encourages the redistribution of wealth
The central banking system in Mordor does not create wealth; it only enhances people's impressions of it. While fiat wealth is being concentrated in fewer hands, cryptocurrency wealth is being redistributed across the globe at a rapid pace.
-Dovey Wan
18.Humans' worth is no longer measured in money.
It's common knowledge that money serves three purposes: to store value, to serve as a medium of exchange, and to serve as an account-unit. It's not just that money is used to measure your worth to the world; it's also used as a way to measure the value of a cup of coffee to you. Money is a commodity that has value. There is a growing disconnect between money and value as I look around.
- CEO of MyCrypto, Taylor Monahan
19.A network of decentralized rails connects centralized services.
Let's imagine a scenario that may or may not happen. Decentralized blockchain rails connect a slew of decentralized services and islands... Even though it's more computationally efficient to keep some services isolated and centralized, the network as a whole could benefit greatly from decentralization.
On blockchain rails, payments could be instantaneous. Assets are also tokenized in the same way as money, and that's a fact. This is supported by payment apps and in-store objects, and it's likely that mobile is the primary means of payment in most cases. As far as I can tell, that's something that would be far more efficient and scalable than the current system. Something along those lines would excite me greatly.
-The CEO of FTX, Sam Bankman-Fried.
20.The world of money is becoming increasingly bizarre.
Money is going to get even more bizarre in the future, in my opinion. To better reflect our identities and individuality, it will be more closely linked or allow for greater expression. In both the physical and digital worlds, it will reflect our relationships.
In terms of bringing people together who share values, it will speed up globalization by providing financial incentives to do so, as well as enhancing and deepening a shared identity. And all of this is going to change the traditional world of governments, legal jurisdictions, and different local currencies.
-Podcast Host, Laura Shin.
